Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.226045 0.250504 0.275710 0.303572 0.333448 0.364470 0.399059
2024-12-29 0.198867 0.233070 0.269716 0.311715 0.358332 0.408307 0.465745
2025-01-05 0.174863 0.215413 0.260369 0.313517 0.374235 0.441051 0.519737
2025-01-12 0.155110 0.200120 0.251605 0.314185 0.387512 0.470040 0.569254
2025-01-19 0.137727 0.185708 0.242235 0.312730 0.397251 0.494308 0.613121
2025-01-26 0.125644 0.176415 0.237849 0.316235 0.412124 0.524162 0.663451
2025-02-02 0.117594 0.171284 0.237828 0.324464 0.432315 0.560221 0.721337
2025-02-09 0.107336 0.162383 0.232303 0.325200 0.442871 0.584478 0.765141
2025-02-16 0.101148 0.158261 0.232389 0.332625 0.461492 0.618502 0.820974
2025-02-23 0.095635 0.154553 0.232610 0.339915 0.479787 0.652159 0.876619
2025-03-02 0.087120 0.145995 0.225795 0.337504 0.485308 0.669694 0.912314
2025-03-09 0.081110 0.140521 0.222738 0.339710 0.496542 0.694303 0.956890
2025-03-16 0.074196 0.133353 0.217095 0.338341 0.503217 0.713494 0.995370
2025-03-23 0.070347 0.130472 0.217236 0.344710 0.520098 0.745874 1.050887
2025-03-30 0.065083 0.125005 0.213328 0.345179 0.528891 0.767754 1.093120
2025-04-06 0.060111 0.119605 0.209177 0.345012 0.536625 0.788179 1.133569
2025-04-13 0.055072 0.113694 0.203905 0.342924 0.541486 0.804699 1.168969
2025-04-20 0.051837 0.110522 0.202559 0.346354 0.553914 0.831307 1.217752
2025-04-27 0.050075 0.109719 0.204760 0.354954 0.573644 0.867868 1.279982
2025-05-04 0.046635 0.105719 0.201743 0.355622 0.582059 0.889168 1.322130
2025-05-11 0.045001 0.104812 0.203537 0.363477 0.600764 0.924590 1.383390
2025-05-18 0.043441 0.103918 0.205271 0.371213 0.619352 0.960007 1.444950
2025-05-25 0.039938 0.099126 0.200403 0.368614 0.622821 0.974589 1.478525